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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 12 May 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 12 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to NAC Breda vs Heracles at 68% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 68%
NAC Breda
0 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 39%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 75%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 67%
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 65%
FC OSS
1 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 38%
Draw 21%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland 60%
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 59%
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 57%
Deinze
3 : 2 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 54%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 52%
Buriram United
4 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 52%
Al Wahda FC
1 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 51%
Legia Warszawa
5 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 49%
PEC Zwolle
3 : 1 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil 48%
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile 47%
Everton de Vina
2 : 2 FT
Palestino
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 47%
VVV Venlo
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Premier Division Β· Ireland 46%
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 45%
MVV
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 44%
FC Eindhoven
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 44%
Lommel United
6 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 44%
Prachuap
2 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria 43%
WSG Wattens
1 : 1 FT
Ried
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Friday 12 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by NAC Breda vs Heracles at 68% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.