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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 19 February 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 19 February 2023. Chonburi FC vs Muangthong United led the list at 59% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 59%
Chonburi FC
0 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany 55%
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Premier League Β· England 55%
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 54%
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 53%
Sparta Praha
3 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Austria 52%
Austria Lustenau
1 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 51%
České Budějovice
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland 51%
FC Basel 1893
2 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 50%
Santa Clara
1 : 3 FT
Famalicao
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria 49%
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany 48%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 48%
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 48%
1. FC Heidenheim
5 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland 48%
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France 48%
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 47%
SV Sandhausen
0 : 3 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France 46%
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Austria 45%
WSG Wattens
1 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France 44%
Toulouse
2 : 3 FT
Marseille
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 42%
Miedz Legnica
2 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 19 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chonburi FC vs Muangthong United at 59% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.