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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 14 May 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

18 fixtures clear the bar on Friday 14 May 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Vitesse vs Heracles at 58% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
: 18:00
Heracles
Win 24%
Draw 18%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 76%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
: 18:00
Almere City FC
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 18:00
Waalwijk
Win 31%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
: 18:00
Reims
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
: 18:00
Grenoble
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Nantes
: 18:00
Laval
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
: 13:00
Pisa
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
: 13:00
Ascoli
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
: 18:00
Helmond Sport
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
: 18:00
Jong Ajax
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
: 18:00
Saint Etienne
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
: 18:00
Dijon
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 61%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 18:00
De Graafschap
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Padova
: 13:00
Avellino
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Arezzo
: 13:00
Virtus Entella
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
: 18:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
: 18:00
Annecy
Win 32%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
: 18:00
Guingamp
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 18 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 14 May 2027?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vitesse vs Heracles at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.