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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 8 May 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Friday 8 May 2026. Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty led the list at 48% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the away win market — 9%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 0 FT
Karpaty
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Turku PS
1 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Avellino
1 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 1 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 33%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 8 May 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty at 48% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.