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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 10 February 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 10 February 2026. West Ham vs Manchester United led the list at 51% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Championship Β· England
Oxford United
0 : 3 FT
Norwich
Win 22%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 League One Β· England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#4 League Two Β· England
Shrewsbury
2 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 57%
#5 Championship Β· England
Leicester
3 : 4 FT
Southampton
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Pescara
0 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 57%
#7 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
0 : 3 FT
Cambridge United
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Everton
1 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
3 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Padova
1 : 0 FT
Carrarese
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Mantova
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
4 : 3 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 10 February 2026?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by West Ham vs Manchester United at 51% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.