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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 3 February 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 3 February 2026. Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town led the list at 68% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
0 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 0 FT
Al Kholood
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 1 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 0 FT
Watford
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
#8 League One Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 League Two Β· England
Barnet
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 3 February 2026?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.