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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 10 August 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 10 August 2025. Haugesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF sits top on 70% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 38%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
3 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 10%
Draw 20%
Win 70%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 62% Sarpsborg 08 FF Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Bryne
0 : 0 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
#5 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
1 : 2 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
5 : 2 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 25%
Draw 21%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 26%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
2 : 0 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Premier League · Ukraine
Karpaty
3 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
1 : 2 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#12 Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
0 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 24%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#13 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
3 : 2 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
1 : 0 FT
Charleroi
Win 24%
Draw 33%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 57%
#16 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
#17 Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
3 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Championship · England
Leicester
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 57%
#19 Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 4 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 10 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Haugesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF at 70% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.