🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📋

Poisson model rates KFUM Oslo at 58%, yet other data sources diverge — this Bryne vs KFUM Oslo fixture contains genuine analytical tension.

✍️ Match Preview

Match Analysis

Bryne host KFUM Oslo at Bryne Stadion in Eliteserien, Regular Season - 17. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 10 August 2025 at 16:00 UTC.

Form Analysis

Looking at all fixtures this season, Bryne stand at 4W 3D 3L from 10 Eliteserien matches — 1.50 PPG. Last five: D W L L L. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.60 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Bryne, so this record blends games from this season and last.

Bryne at Bryne Stadion this season: 4W 1D 3L from 8 home games — 1.62 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.62 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 62% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.

KFUM Oslo — All Games: 6W 2D 2L from 10 Eliteserien fixtures this season — 2.00 PPG. Last five: D W W W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.30 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. Defensively, 0.70 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. This season is still relatively young for KFUM Oslo, so this record blends games from this season and last.

KFUM Oslo's form when playing away from home: 4W 2D 4L across 10 road games this term (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel. Their away PPG of 1.40 is notably below their overall 2.00 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.

Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour KFUM Oslo — 0.50 PPG ahead of the hosts (2.00 vs 1.50). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.

H2H Record

There is little to separate the sides historically. From 1 previous meetings, Bryne have won 0, KFUM Oslo 0, with 1 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.

The 1 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 6 Jul 2025, ended 1–1 with a draw.

The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.

Trading Patterns

Bryne in-play and half-time data (16 games, 8 at home): they score before half-time in 88% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 38%.

KFUM Oslo in-play and half-time data (16 games, 8 at away): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 50%.

BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Bryne 62% versus KFUM Oslo 50%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Bryne 56% | KFUM Oslo 56%).

Poisson Model

The Poisson distribution model projects Bryne 1.20 xG and KFUM Oslo 2.12 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Bryne attack 0.902 / defence 1.259 | KFUM Oslo attack 1.258 / defence 0.808. League average goals — home 1.647 / away 1.342. KFUM Oslo have an above-average attack strength of 1.258 — the away xG of 2.12 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 16 Bryne games / 46 KFUM Oslo games used (CurrentSeason).

Result probabilities: Bryne 21% | Draw 21% | KFUM Oslo 58%. Fair-value odds: Bryne 4.76 | Draw 4.76 | KFUM Oslo 1.72. The model has a clear lean to KFUM Oslo (58%) — a 37pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.

Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 65% | BTTS probability 62% | Total xG 3.33. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 65% — a total xG of 3.33 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 62% reflects that both xG figures (1.20 / 2.12) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.

Analysis Verdict

On the Poisson output, KFUM Oslo are the pick at 58% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 21% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.

The Poisson model projects 3.33 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 65% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game.

On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 62% on Yes. Form rates are neutral: Bryne 62% | KFUM Oslo 30%.

🔮 Your Prediction

Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.

💡 Key Insights