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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 31 January 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 31 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Ettifaq vs Al Shabab at 59% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 21%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
3 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
0 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Leganes
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 26%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Elversberg
2 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Annecy
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Liège
2 : 1 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 31 January 2025?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ettifaq vs Al Shabab at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.