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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 27 August 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 27 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Fayha vs Al-Nassr at 44% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie B supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 27%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 4 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
2 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Salernitana
3 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
1 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
2 : 0 FT
Brescia
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
0 : 3 FT
Helsingborg
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 27 August 2024?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Fayha vs Al-Nassr at 44% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.