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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 24 August 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 24 August 2024. Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF led the list at 61% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 20%
Draw 19%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 7 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
4 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al Hisn
1 : 4 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#5 League Two Β· England
Crewe
0 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
1 : 1 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 2 FT
Santa Clara
Win 27%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
0 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 30%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Bodrum FK
3 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
0 : 3 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 29%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Saint Etienne
0 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 32%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 54%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
0 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Lorient
2 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
0 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 36%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
0 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 34%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 League One Β· England
Exeter City
1 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 53%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Preußen Münster
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 29%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
2 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 24 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF at 61% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.