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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 28 August 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 28 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Karviná vs Baník Ostrava at 40% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 40% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Primera División supplies four of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, 0 landed the away win market — 0%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Criciuma
1 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Cesena
2 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
3 : 1 FT
U. Catolica
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 0 FT
Mantova
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Iquique
2 : 1 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobreloa
1 : 0 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 28 August 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Karviná vs Baník Ostrava at 40% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.