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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 4 February 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 4 February 2024. Atromitos vs PAOK sits top on 66% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 3 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Liège
1 : 4 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
4 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
3 : 0 FT
FC Zurich
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
0 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 29%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 72%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
1 : 1 FT
Farense
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 35%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 0 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
1 : 2 FT
Sudtirol
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
3 : 1 FT
Liverpool
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
1 : 4 FT
Lamia
Win 34%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 61%
#16 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 29%
Draw 37%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 4 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atromitos vs PAOK at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.