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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 22 December 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Friday 22 December 2023. Al-Hazm vs Al-Ahli Jeddah led the list at 80% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
0 : 4 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 9%
Draw 11%
βœ“ Win 80%
✓ Over 2.5 89% BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 13%
Draw 15%
Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#3 League Two Β· England
Colchester
2 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 3 FT
Bradford
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
#7 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 3 FT
Barrow
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#9 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
0 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
1 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
1 : 6 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 31%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#14 Championship Β· England
Swansea
2 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
3 : 2 FT
Hull City
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 15 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 22 December 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hazm vs Al-Ahli Jeddah at 80% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.