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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 19 December 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 19 December 2023. Dunkerque vs Bordeaux sits top on 59% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
0 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
1 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Concarneau
0 : 3 FT
Grenoble
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 3 FT
Auxerre
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
3 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 53%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
0 : 3 FT
Sevilla
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Caen
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 19 December 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Dunkerque vs Bordeaux at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.