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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 8 October 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 8 October 2023. PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord sits top on 74% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 46%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the away win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 9%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 74%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
0 : 6 FT
Gais
Win 15%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
2 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
1 : 3 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 23%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
1 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
2 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
0 : 3 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 23%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 2 FT
Newcastle
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 0 FT
Al Ain
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 3 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 28%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 19%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
3 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 3 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
1 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
1 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 8 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord at 74% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.