Sign in Register
✈️

Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 31 January 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 31 January 2023. Pacos Ferreira vs GIL Vicente led the list at 47% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#2 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
1 : 3 FT
Amiens
Win 28%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
1 : 2 FT
Nimes
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bordeaux
1 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 30%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
0 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
2 : 0 FT
Caen
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 0 FT
Dijon
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 31 January 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Pacos Ferreira vs GIL Vicente at 47% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.