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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 27 January 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Friday 27 January 2023. Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai sits top on 49% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 21%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 0 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Miedz Legnica
0 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Almeria
3 : 1 FT
Espanyol
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 53%
#4 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
5 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
0 : 1 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
1 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
5 : 1 FT
Ajman
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
2 : 1 FT
Rennes
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze
2 : 1 FT
Club Brugge II
✓ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
2 : 1 FT
Spal
✓ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 27 January 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 49% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.