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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 9 April 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 9 April 2022. Gillingham vs Wycombe led the list at 70% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 46%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the away win market — 74%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 9%
Draw 21%
Win 70%
BTTS No 61% Wycombe Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Tondela
1 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 League One Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 13%
Draw 25%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 60%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
1 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#6 League Two Β· England
Scunthorpe
0 : 4 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 17%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
#8 League One Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 3 FT
Wigan
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
0 : 6 FT
Chelsea
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 53%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Admira Wacker
1 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
#12 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Seongnam FC
0 : 4 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
1 : 3 FT
Hannover 96
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 6 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Premier League Β· Russia
Khimki
4 : 2 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
0 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Watford
0 : 3 FT
Leeds
Win 31%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#19 League Two Β· England
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 20%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#20 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
– : – CANC
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 9 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gillingham vs Wycombe at 70% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.