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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 6 December 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 6 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Lamia vs PAS Giannina at 63% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 31%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 4 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 3 FT
De Graafschap
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
3 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 29%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
2 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Wisla Krakow
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Everton
2 : 1 FT
Arsenal
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
1 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 6 December 2021?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lamia vs PAS Giannina at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.