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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 7 December 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 7 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Harrogate Town vs Forest Green at 56% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
1 : 4 FT
Forest Green
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 League One Β· England
Crewe
2 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#3 League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 League One Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 2 FT
Oxford United
Win 31%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#6 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
0 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 53%
#7 League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
3 : 0 FT
Bolton
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
0 : 1 FT
Sport Recife
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 League Two Β· England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 League Two Β· England
Oldham
0 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#11 League One Β· England
Accrington ST
0 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 7 December 2021?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Harrogate Town vs Forest Green at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.