SCR Altach 0-0 WSG Wattens – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates SCR Altach at 43% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as SCR Altach face WSG Wattens.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
SCR Altach and WSG Wattens meet at Cashpoint-Arena in Bundesliga (Relegation Group - 28). This fixture gets under way on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:30 UK time.
Form & Momentum
SCR Altach have collected 1.60 PPG across their last 10 games: 4W 4D 2L. Last five: W D L W D. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
At home, SCR Altach have gone 5W 4D 1L in their last 10 home games (1.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
WSG Wattens (all games): 4W 2D 4L across their last 10 — 1.40 points per game. Last five: L L W L D. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.90 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
When travelling, WSG Wattens have posted 3W 2D 5L from their last 10 away outings — 1.10 PPG. Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 1.60 vs 1.40 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
H2H Analysis
Neither side has dominated the 8 H2H matches in our data: 3 wins for SCR Altach, 3 for WSG Wattens and 2 draws — leaving the H2H largely neutral.
The 8 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.2 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 18 Apr 2026, ended SCR Altach 2–2 WSG Wattens — a draw.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
Trading Data
SCR Altach goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 59 games, 29 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 62% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 61% of those occasions; of the 11 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 27%; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 34% of games (home games); they fail to score in 37% of games.
WSG Wattens goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 59 games, 29 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 72% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 56% of the time; of the 15 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 40%; of the 20 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 30%; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (away games); they fail to score in 32% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 49% versus WSG Wattens 58%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 41% | WSG Wattens 54%). There is an in-play dynamic worth noting: SCR Altach surrender their half-time lead 27% of the time, while WSG Wattens have come from behind at the break to draw or win in 30% of cases — a combination that makes laying the hosts at HT a potential angle.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.38 xG and WSG Wattens 1.10 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 1.009 / defence 0.904 | WSG Wattens attack 1.062 / defence 1.018. League average goals — home 1.346 / away 1.147. Data: built from SCR Altach's last 44 games and WSG Wattens's last 44.
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 43% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 29%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 2.35 | Draw 3.53 | WSG Wattens 3.43. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 45% | BTTS Yes probability 51% | Total xG 2.49. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 55% — total xG of 2.49 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS Yes at 51% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is SCR Altach at 43% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on SCR Altach if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.49 combined xG gives a 55% probability to Under 2.5 — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 51%. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: SCR Altach 70% (last 10 home games) | WSG Wattens 50% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens | Competition: Bundesliga, Relegation Group - 28 | Venue: Cashpoint-Arena • Kick-off: Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 43% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 29% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 45% (Under 55%) | BTTS Yes 51% (No 49%) | xG SCR Altach 1.38 / WSG Wattens 1.10 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 1.009 / def 0.904 | WSG Wattens attack 1.062 / def 1.018 | league avg home 1.346 / away 1.147 • Poisson stance: SCR Altach (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.38
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.10
WSG Wattens xG
51%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens FAQs
What time does SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kick off?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kicked off at 18:30 UK time on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at Cashpoint-Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach 0 - 0 WSG Wattens.
Where is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens being played?
The match is being played at Cashpoint-Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens part of?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens is a Bundesliga fixture (Relegation Group - 28) (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 43% chance of winning, WSG Wattens a 29% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making SCR Altach the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both SCR Altach and WSG Wattens will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 45%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (55%).
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
SCR Altach's attacking strength (1.01x league average) is weighed against WSG Wattens's defensive record (1.02x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.38. Flip it around — WSG Wattens's attack (1.06x) against SCR Altach's defence (0.90x) — and the away total comes out at 1.10.
These ratings are built from SCR Altach's last 44 games and WSG Wattens's last 44 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.4%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.0%), 1-0 (9.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SCR Altach Win
43%
2.35
28%
3.53
29%
3.43
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.5%
Home win
0 – 1
9.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.49
1.10
WSG Wattens xG
2.35
43%
Home win
3.53
28%
Draw
3.43
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.97
49%
BTTS No
2.03
Clean Sheet
33%
3.01
25%
3.99
Win to Nil
14%
7.08
7%
13.67
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.5 | 12.7 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.4%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens expected to score?
The model projects 1.38 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.10 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.49.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
SCR Altach's recent record stands at 14W 21D 24L from 59 games, a 1.07 PPG return, with W-D-L-W-D in the last five.
WSG Wattens, meanwhile, have gone 16W 17D 26L across 59 games — 1.10 PPG, with L-L-W-L-D in their last five.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.07 PPG for SCR Altach against 1.10 for WSG Wattens. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, SCR Altach have managed 9W 13D 7L from their last 29 home games — 1.38 PPG in front of their own supporters.
WSG Wattens's away record stands at 7W 6D 16L across their last 29 away games, a 0.93 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, SCR Altach come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
SCR Altach are averaging 1.02 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game recently; WSG Wattens are on 1.24 scored and 1.61 conceded.
Last 59 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Blended
WSG Wattens
Blended
SCR Altach (Home) vs WSG Wattens (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
SCR Altach
Blended
WSG Wattens
Blended
❓ SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens Form FAQs
What form are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 14W 21D 24L in their last 59 games (1.07 PPG), while WSG Wattens have gone 16W 17D 26L in their last 59 (1.10 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or WSG Wattens away?
SCR Altach's home record (1.38 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 1.38 PPG; WSG Wattens away: 0.93 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
Our data holds 10 H2H matches between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens, the earliest from May 2024. All of them came in Bundesliga. The most recent was on 7 August 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SCR Altach won SCR Altach 3-0 WSG Wattens on 26 Apr 2025, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, SCR Altach have gone 2W 2D 1L from the 5 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against WSG Wattens — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
4
SCR Altach
3
Draws
3
WSG Wattens
Recent Meetings
❓ SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, SCR Altach have won 4, WSG Wattens have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and WSG Wattens last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 7 August 2026: SCR Altach 3-1 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 50% of those situations.
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 72% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 28% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 62% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 59%, WSG Wattens 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 34% (SCR Altach) and 62% (WSG Wattens).
On the defensive side: WSG Wattens in 38%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / WSG Wattens away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in SCR Altach and WSG Wattens matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 59% of SCR Altach's games and 59% of WSG Wattens's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 34% of SCR Altach's recent games and 62% of WSG Wattens's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and WSG Wattens matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 62% of SCR Altach's recent matches and 72% of WSG Wattens's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at SCR Altach's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Cashpoint-Arena, Relegation Group - 28, as SCR Altach and WSG Wattens drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.38 xG and WSG Wattens 1.10 xG, a combined 2.49. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. SCR Altach fell 1.4 short of their projected output. WSG Wattens landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 1.01 / defence 0.90 against WSG Wattens attack 1.06 / defence 1.02, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 43% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 29%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 72% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 41%, WSG Wattens 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.
WSG Wattens's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — SCR Altach 1.07 PPG, WSG Wattens 1.10 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.76 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.