Win & BTTS Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest win & BTTS probability — Sunday 4 January 2026
Win & BTTS needs the selected side to win and both teams to score — a 2–1 or 3–2 counts, a 1–0 does not. Our prediction model backs whichever side has the higher figure and sums those scorelines from the joint score matrix. Only selections at 25%+ probability are shown.
14 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 4 January 2026. Lorient vs Metz (Lorient to win & BTTS) led the list at 45% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the win and BTTS market — 14%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient to win & BTTS
45%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille to win & BTTS
38%
League One · England
Wycombe to win & BTTS
33%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win & BTTS
33%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain to win & BTTS
31%
Premier League · England
Leeds to win & BTTS
30%
Championship · England
QPR to win & BTTS
28%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win & BTTS
28%
League One · England
Cardiff to win & BTTS
28%
Premier League · England
Manchester City to win & BTTS
27%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United to win & BTTS
26%
Premier League · England
Fulham to win & BTTS
26%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
NEOM to win & BTTS
26%
League One · England
Bolton to win & BTTS
25%
Showing top 14 fixtures by win & BTTS probability (a 25% or higher win & BTTS probability for one side). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Win & BTTS — common questions
What does the Win & BTTS market mean?
Win & BTTS settles on whether a match is won by the selected side with both teams scoring. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate win and BTTS probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The win & BTTS probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the selected side wins and both teams score — 2–1, 3–1, 3–2 and so on. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Win & BTTS on Sunday 4 January 2026?
14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lorient vs Metz (Lorient to win & BTTS) at 45% win & BTTS probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 25% or higher win & BTTS probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these win and BTTS predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.