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Win & BTTS Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest win & BTTS probability β€” Saturday 11 March 2023

Win & BTTS needs the selected side to win and both teams to score β€” a 2–1 or 3–2 counts, a 1–0 does not. Our prediction model backs whichever side has the higher figure and sums those scorelines from the joint score matrix. Only selections at 25%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 11 March 2023. AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen (AZ Alkmaar to win & BTTS) sits top on 42% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 42% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the win and BTTS market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar to win & BTTS 42%
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München to win & BTTS 41%
Bayern München
5 : 3 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United to win & BTTS 39%
Muangthong United
1 : 0 FT
Police Tero
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KVC Westerlo to win & BTTS 37%
KVC Westerlo
3 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 20%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys to win & BTTS 37%
BSC Young Boys
4 : 0 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig to win & BTTS 36%
RB Leipzig
3 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt to win & BTTS 35%
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow to win & BTTS 35%
Spartak Moscow
3 : 2 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha to win & BTTS 33%
Baník Ostrava
0 : 3 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray to win & BTTS 32%
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland Sligo Rovers to win & BTTS 31%
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Cork City
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha to win & BTTS 31%
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Plzen
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 League One Β· England Shrewsbury to win & BTTS 30%
Shrewsbury
3 : 1 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#14 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough to win & BTTS 30%
Swansea
1 : 3 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 31%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium K. Lierse S.K. to win & BTTS 29%
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 0 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 21%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France Sochaux to win & BTTS 27%
Sochaux
1 : 1 FT
Bordeaux
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Hradec Králové to win & BTTS 27%
Zlin
2 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli to win & BTTS 27%
Napoli
2 : 0 FT
Atalanta
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#19 League One Β· England Peterborough to win & BTTS 26%
Peterborough
0 : 3 FT
Cheltenham
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#20 League One Β· England Barnsley to win & BTTS 26%
Barnsley
3 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by win & BTTS probability (a 25% or higher win & BTTS probability for one side). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Win & BTTS β€” common questions

What does the Win & BTTS market mean?

Win & BTTS settles on whether a match is won by the selected side with both teams scoring. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate win and BTTS probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The win & BTTS probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the selected side wins and both teams score — 2–1, 3–1, 3–2 and so on. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Win & BTTS on Saturday 11 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen (AZ Alkmaar to win & BTTS) at 42% win & BTTS probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 25% or higher win & BTTS probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these win and BTTS predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.