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Win & BTTS Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest win & BTTS probability β€” Friday 30 September 2022

Win & BTTS needs the selected side to win and both teams to score β€” a 2–1 or 3–2 counts, a 1–0 does not. Our prediction model backs whichever side has the higher figure and sums those scorelines from the joint score matrix. Only selections at 25%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 30 September 2022. SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Darmstadt 98 (SC Paderborn 07 to win & BTTS) sits top on 37% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 37% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the win and BTTS market — 31%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 to win & BTTS 37%
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven to win & BTTS 36%
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle to win & BTTS 34%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Super League Β· China Changchun Yatai to win & BTTS 29%
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda to win & BTTS 29%
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 League Two Β· England Mansfield Town to win & BTTS 29%
Mansfield Town
2 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV to win & BTTS 29%
MVV
3 : 2 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP to win & BTTS 28%
Sporting CP
3 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag to win & BTTS 28%
ADO Den Haag
1 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto to win & BTTS 27%
FC Porto
4 : 1 FT
SC Braga
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Standard Liege to win & BTTS 27%
Standard Liege
0 : 2 FT
Seraing United
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Helmond Sport to win & BTTS 26%
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles to win & BTTS 25%
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
Heracles
Win 34%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 13 fixtures by win & BTTS probability (a 25% or higher win & BTTS probability for one side). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Win & BTTS β€” common questions

What does the Win & BTTS market mean?

Win & BTTS settles on whether a match is won by the selected side with both teams scoring. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate win and BTTS probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The win & BTTS probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the selected side wins and both teams score — 2–1, 3–1, 3–2 and so on. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Win & BTTS on Friday 30 September 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Darmstadt 98 (SC Paderborn 07 to win & BTTS) at 37% win & BTTS probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 25% or higher win & BTTS probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these win and BTTS predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.