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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 29 May 2022

Thu 26 Fri 27 Sat 28 Sun 29 Mon 30 Tue 31 Wed 1

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 29 May 2022. Huachipato vs Palestino sits top on 75% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 58%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the under 2.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile 75%

Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%

Superettan · Sweden 72%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%

Championship · England 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Serie A · Brazil 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%

Serie A · Brazil 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%

K League 1 · South-Korea 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%

Allsvenskan · Sweden 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#10

Serie A · Brazil 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#11

Ligue 2 · France 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#12

Serie A · Brazil 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%

#13

K League 1 · South-Korea 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#14

Primera División · Chile 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#15

Allsvenskan · Sweden 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#16

Veikkausliiga · Finland 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

#17

Serie A · Brazil 61%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal 59%

#19

Serie B · Italy 58%

#20

Eliteserien · Norway 58%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 29 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Huachipato vs Palestino at 75% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.