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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Saturday 21 May 2022

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Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Antofagasta vs Everton de Vina at 78% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 59%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the under 2.5 goals market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile 78%

Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%

Premier League · Russia 74%

✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 70% Zenit Clean Sheet 57%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%

Primera División · Chile 73%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%

Ligue 1 · France 72%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%

Premier League · Russia 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

Serie A · Brazil 70%

Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Allsvenskan · Sweden 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%

#10

Serie A · Italy 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#11

K League 1 · South-Korea 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#12

Primeira Liga · Portugal 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#13

La Liga · Spain 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#14

Serie A · Brazil 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#15

Ekstraklasa · Poland 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#16

Serie B · Italy 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#17

Premier League · Russia 61%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#18

K League 1 · South-Korea 60%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#19

Premier League · Ukraine 60%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

#20

Allsvenskan · Sweden 59%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 66% AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Saturday 21 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Antofagasta vs Everton de Vina at 78% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.