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UK Football Predictions

English league and cup matches only β€” Monday 1 January 2024

Kick-off times in UK time (GMT/BST)

Free UK football predictions for 1 January 2024, showing only matches from Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

There were 37 UK fixtures on Monday 1 January 2024, spread across four competitions, led by Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two.

The model's standout reads were Crawley Town vs Swindon Town for over 2.5 goals at 74%, Crawley Town vs Swindon Town for both teams to score at 72%, and Leeds as the strongest favourite at 70% (Leeds vs Birmingham). Treat them as model output rather than a guide to what will happen.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, three landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League logo

Premier League predictions

1 match Β· England Premier League hub →
Liverpool
4 : 2 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Championship logo

Championship predictions

12 matches Β· England Championship hub →
Sunderland
2 : 0 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Blackburn
2 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Bristol City
0 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Leeds
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
Leicester
4 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
Middlesbrough
1 : 3 FT
Coventry
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 59%
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Plymouth
3 : 3 FT
Watford
Win 38%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
League One logo

League One predictions

12 matches Β· England League One hub →
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Blackpool
2 : 0 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 56%
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
Cambridge United
0 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Charlton
1 : 2 FT
Oxford United
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Derby
2 : 3 FT
Peterborough
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 53%
Northampton
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Reading
3 : 2 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Shrewsbury
3 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Wycombe
3 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
League Two logo

League Two predictions

12 matches Β· England League Two hub →
Accrington ST
3 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
Colchester
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Crawley Town
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Crewe
1 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Doncaster
3 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Forest Green
1 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Grimsby
1 : 6 FT
Walsall
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Morecambe
2 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
Stockport County
0 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
Sutton Utd
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Tranmere
4 : 2 FT
Notts County
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Wrexham
4 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing all 37 UK fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

UK Football β€” common questions

Which UK leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in the UK include Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup; other UK competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Monday 1 January 2024 the page lists Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two.

How many UK matches were predicted on Monday 1 January 2024?

37 UK fixtures across four competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Crawley Town vs Swindon Town at 74%.

How are UK football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in UK time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in UK time (GMT/BST, the Europe/London time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find UK over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Premier League and Championship. The "UK Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top UK fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.