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UK Football Predictions

English league and cup matches only β€” Saturday 23 December 2023

Kick-off times in UK time (GMT/BST)

Free UK football predictions for 23 December 2023, showing only matches from Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

The model covers 32 UK fixtures on Saturday 23 December 2023 in four competitions, led by Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two.

The model's standout reads were Tranmere vs Swindon Town for over 2.5 goals at 75%, Luton vs Newcastle for both teams to score at 71%, and Leicester as the strongest favourite at 78% (Leicester vs Rotherham). Each figure comes straight from the model's scoreline distribution.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, two landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League logo

Premier League predictions

6 matches Β· England Premier League hub →
West Ham
2 : 0 FT
Manchester United
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Fulham
0 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
Luton
1 : 0 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
Nottingham Forest
2 : 3 FT
Bournemouth
Win 36%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Tottenham
2 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Liverpool
1 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Championship logo

Championship predictions

10 matches Β· England Championship hub →
Leeds
4 : 0 FT
Ipswich
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Blackburn
1 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Leicester
3 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Norwich
2 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Plymouth
3 : 3 FT
Birmingham
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
QPR
0 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Sunderland
0 : 3 FT
Coventry
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
League One logo

League One predictions

10 matches Β· England League One hub →
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Blackpool
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Bolton
3 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Northampton
2 : 1 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Reading
2 : 0 FT
Wigan
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Wycombe
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
League Two logo

League Two predictions

6 matches Β· England League Two hub →
Accrington ST
2 : 1 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Grimsby
1 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
Morecambe
1 : 3 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Sutton Utd
0 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Tranmere
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Wrexham
2 : 0 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing all 32 UK fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

UK Football β€” common questions

Which UK leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in the UK include Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup; other UK competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 23 December 2023 the page lists Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two.

How many UK matches were predicted on Saturday 23 December 2023?

32 UK fixtures across four competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Tranmere vs Swindon Town at 75%.

How are UK football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in UK time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in UK time (GMT/BST, the Europe/London time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find UK over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Premier League and Championship. The "UK Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top UK fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.