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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 27 December 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
: 16:00
Famalicao
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
: 16:00
Sporting CP
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
: 16:00
Alverca
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
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Showing top 9 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.