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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Wednesday 14 October 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
QPR
: 19:45
Derby
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
: 19:45
Sheffield Utd
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 58%
#3 Championship Β· England
Norwich
: 19:45
Southampton
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
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Showing top 4 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.