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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 13 October 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Burnley
: 19:45
Charlton
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 54%
#2 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
: 19:45
Blackburn
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
: 19:45
Middlesbrough
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
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Showing top 9 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.