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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 5 February 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
5 : 3 FT
Botafogo
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
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Showing top 7 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.