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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 26 December 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Millwall
0 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
#2 League One Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
#3 Championship Β· England
Oxford United
2 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.