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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 21 December 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Virtus Entella
1 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
2 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
4 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 58%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.