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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 26 September 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Saturday 26 September 2026. Stockport County vs Peterborough (Stockport County over 1.5 goals) led the list at 72% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Stockport County over 1.5 goals 72%
Stockport County
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam over 1.5 goals 67%
FC Volendam
3 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 League Two Β· England Swindon Town over 1.5 goals 65%
Swindon Town
1 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 League One Β· England Plymouth over 1.5 goals 63%
Plymouth
0 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen over 1.5 goals 62%
Emmen
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Cavalry FC over 1.5 goals 62%
Cavalry FC
6 : 0 FT
Supra du Quebec
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 League Two Β· England Barnet over 1.5 goals 57%
Crawley Town
– : – PST
Barnet
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 League Two Β· England Bristol Rovers over 1.5 goals 57%
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles over 1.5 goals 57%
Heracles
2 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#10 League One Β· England Cambridge United over 1.5 goals 55%
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 10 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 26 September 2026?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Stockport County vs Peterborough (Stockport County over 1.5 goals) at 72% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.