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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 10 April 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 10 April 2026. SK Poltava vs Polessya (Polessya over 1.5 goals) sits top on 78% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine Polessya over 1.5 goals 78%
SK Poltava
0 : 4 FT
Polessya
Win 7%
Draw 12%
βœ“ Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma over 1.5 goals 72%
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille over 1.5 goals 67%
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 61%
Real Madrid
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France PAU over 1.5 goals 59%
Amiens
0 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 32%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco over 1.5 goals 59%
Paris FC
4 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC over 1.5 goals 58%
Karlsruher SC
4 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. over 1.5 goals 58%
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 53%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV over 1.5 goals 56%
MVV
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 56%
Twente
2 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 24%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 63% Twente Clean Sheet 58%

Showing top 10 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 10 April 2026?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by SK Poltava vs Polessya (Polessya over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.