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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 25 April 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Friday 25 April 2025. Dordrecht vs MVV (Dordrecht over 1.5 goals) sits top on 71% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht over 1.5 goals 71%
Dordrecht
3 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 68%
Feyenoord
4 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 64%
Cambuur
2 : 1 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 61%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 3 FT
Nice
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar over 1.5 goals 60%
Telstar
3 : 2 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
BTTS No 58%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Cremonese over 1.5 goals 60%
Cremonese
4 : 2 FT
Mantova
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG over 1.5 goals 59%
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals 59%
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan over 1.5 goals 58%
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera over 1.5 goals 57%
Union La Calera
1 : 0 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals 57%
Beşiktaş
5 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 55%
Waalwijk
0 : 4 FT
Utrecht
Win 27%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 12 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 25 April 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Dordrecht vs MVV (Dordrecht over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.