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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 23 April 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Three matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 23 April 2025. Arsenal vs Crystal Palace (Arsenal over 1.5 goals) led the list at 59% in the Premier League.

Of the three fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 59%
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC over 1.5 goals 58%
Al Bataeh
1 : 3 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club over 1.5 goals 58%
Athletic Club
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%

Showing top 3 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 23 April 2025?

three fixtures met the criteria, led by Arsenal vs Crystal Palace (Arsenal over 1.5 goals) at 59% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.