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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 24 September 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 24 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Real Madrid vs Alaves (Real Madrid over 1.5 goals) at 69% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 69%
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 66%
Atalanta
2 : 3 FT
Como
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves over 1.5 goals 61%
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
KuPS
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino over 1.5 goals 61%
Palestino
2 : 0 FT
Deportes Iquique
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla over 1.5 goals 58%
Sevilla
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
#6 League One Β· England Blackpool over 1.5 goals 57%
Huddersfield
0 : 2 FT
Blackpool
Win 28%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden Gefle IF over 1.5 goals 55%
Gefle IF
0 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 League One Β· England Peterborough over 1.5 goals 55%
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 24 September 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Alaves (Real Madrid over 1.5 goals) at 69% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.