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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 17 March 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 17 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Sporting CP vs Boavista (Sporting CP over 1.5 goals) at 79% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 76%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 79%
Sporting CP
6 : 1 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma over 1.5 goals 75%
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Cercle Brugge over 1.5 goals 74%
Cercle Brugge
4 : 0 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hertha BSC over 1.5 goals 72%
Hertha BSC
5 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 71%
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#6 League Two Β· England Morecambe over 1.5 goals 70%
Salford City
3 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 39%
Draw 19%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS Yes 83%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 65%
FC Volendam
0 : 4 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 12%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 61%
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals 60%
Red Bull Salzburg
5 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 60%
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 60%
Trabzonspor
2 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 59%
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
#13 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa over 1.5 goals 59%
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 58%
SC Freiburg
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 57%
Heerenveen
2 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen over 1.5 goals 57%
FK Jablonec
1 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray over 1.5 goals 56%
Kasımpaşa
3 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 13%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 62%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 17 March 2024?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Boavista (Sporting CP over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.