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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 12 November 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 12 November 2023. Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund (Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals) led the list at 92% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 63%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 92%
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 8%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 89% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 80%
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk over 1.5 goals 76%
Genk
3 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#4 Premier League Β· England Brighton over 1.5 goals 76%
Brighton
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking over 1.5 goals 75%
Viking
2 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 18%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 73%
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 72%
ADO Den Haag
1 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 38%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS Yes 84%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Parma over 1.5 goals 72%
Lecco
3 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 8%
Draw 17%
Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 71%
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals 71%
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius over 1.5 goals 71%
Sirius
2 : 0 FT
IFK Norrkoping
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 75%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 70%
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin over 1.5 goals 69%
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#14 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa over 1.5 goals 69%
Aston Villa
3 : 1 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC over 1.5 goals 68%
Servette FC
4 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli over 1.5 goals 65%
Napoli
0 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde over 1.5 goals 65%
Molde
4 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente over 1.5 goals 63%
GIL Vicente
1 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen over 1.5 goals 63%
Plzen
1 : 4 FT
Slovácko
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 63%
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 23%
Win 7%
BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 12 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund (Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals) at 92% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.