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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Sunday 17 September 2023

Thu 14 Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 17 September 2023. Excelsior vs Almere City FC (Excelsior over 1.5 goals) sits top on 76% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands Excelsior over 1.5 goals 76%

Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 72%

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken over 1.5 goals 76%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals 71%

SV Darmstadt 98

3 : 3 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Win 28%

Draw 20%

Win 51%

✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%

Primeira Liga · Portugal GIL Vicente over 1.5 goals 71%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga over 1.5 goals 67%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Premier League · Russia Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals 66%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso over 1.5 goals 65%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Allsvenskan · Sweden IF Elfsborg over 1.5 goals 64%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 63%

Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%

#10

Ligue 1 · France Lorient over 1.5 goals 62%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

#11

Challenger Pro League · Belgium K. Lierse S.K. over 1.5 goals 59%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%

#12

Eliteserien · Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF over 1.5 goals 59%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#13

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 58%

#14

La Liga · Spain Villarreal over 1.5 goals 58%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#15

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 57%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 73%

#16

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 57%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

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2. Bundesliga · Germany Hertha BSC over 1.5 goals 56%

Hertha BSC

3 : 0 FT

Eintracht Braunschweig

✓ Win 56%

Draw 23%

Win 21%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

#18

Canadian Premier League · Canada Pacific FC over 1.5 goals 56%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

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Premier League · Russia Zenit over 1.5 goals 56%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vitória SC over 1.5 goals 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Over 2.5 Goals Home Banker Goal Fest

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Team Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 17 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior vs Almere City FC (Excelsior over 1.5 goals) at 76% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.