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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Saturday 22 April 2023

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Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 April 2023. Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest (Liverpool over 1.5 goals) sits top on 79% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 79%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS No 63% Liverpool Clean Sheet 61%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 79%

✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 66%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 75%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

K League 1 · South-Korea Daegu FC over 1.5 goals 74%

Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 82%

Championship · England Burnley over 1.5 goals 70%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc over 1.5 goals 70%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 70%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday over 1.5 goals 69%

Premier League · Russia Zenit over 1.5 goals 68%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#10

League One · England Charlton over 1.5 goals 68%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

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Challenger Pro League · Belgium SK Beveren over 1.5 goals 65%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%

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Eredivisie · Netherlands Vitesse over 1.5 goals 63%

✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Vitesse Clean Sheet 56%

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La Liga · Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 63%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%

#14

Allsvenskan · Sweden Hammarby FF over 1.5 goals 62%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%

#15

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Deinze over 1.5 goals 60%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

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Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG over 1.5 goals 58%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

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Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United over 1.5 goals 58%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

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League One · England Derby over 1.5 goals 57%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%

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Bundesliga · Germany Hertha BSC over 1.5 goals 56%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

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League Two · England Hartlepool over 1.5 goals 56%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Over 2.5 Goals Home Banker Goal Fest

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Team Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 22 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest (Liverpool over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.