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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 11 February 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 11 February 2023. Bayern München vs VfL Bochum (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) led the list at 84% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 84%
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 82%
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Baniyas SC over 1.5 goals 71%
Al Bataeh
3 : 3 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 20%
Draw 18%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 71%
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals 70%
FSV Mainz 05
3 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava over 1.5 goals 69%
Baník Ostrava
1 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria WSG Wattens over 1.5 goals 66%
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 2 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 27%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#8 League One Β· England Morecambe over 1.5 goals 66%
Morecambe
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58%
#9 League Two Β· England Swindon Town over 1.5 goals 64%
Swindon Town
0 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Deinze over 1.5 goals 64%
Deinze
2 : 3 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 47%
Draw 20%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain over 1.5 goals 64%
Al Ain
3 : 2 FT
Al-Jazira
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg over 1.5 goals 63%
SC Freiburg
2 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Holstein Kiel over 1.5 goals 62%
Holstein Kiel
2 : 3 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent over 1.5 goals 60%
KVC Westerlo
3 : 3 FT
Gent
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera over 1.5 goals 59%
Union La Calera
3 : 2 FT
Curico Unido
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 59%
Arsenal
1 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge II over 1.5 goals 58%
Standard Liège II
0 : 0 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC over 1.5 goals 57%
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
#19 Premier League Β· England Brighton over 1.5 goals 57%
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 57%
Monaco
3 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 11 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs VfL Bochum (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 84% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.