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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 16 October 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 16 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs Excelsior (Ajax over 1.5 goals) at 86% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 59%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 86%
Ajax
7 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 76%
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 1 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC over 1.5 goals 74%
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 73%
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sandefjord over 1.5 goals 71%
Sandefjord
1 : 2 FT
jerv
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 70%
Twente
3 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Paranaense over 1.5 goals 69%
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Atletico Paranaense Clean Sheet 54%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals 68%
Austria Vienna
1 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 19%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Honka over 1.5 goals 67%
Honka
1 : 1 FT
Haka
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United over 1.5 goals 67%
BG Pathum United
2 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF over 1.5 goals 65%
Djurgardens IF
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 64%
Liverpool
1 : 0 FT
Manchester City
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RSC Anderlecht II over 1.5 goals 64%
KRC Genk II
3 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow over 1.5 goals 64%
CSKA Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis over 1.5 goals 62%
Real Betis
3 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
BTTS No 64% Real Betis Clean Sheet 59%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 62%
Rennes
3 : 2 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 over 1.5 goals 62%
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 0 FT
SV Sandhausen
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent over 1.5 goals 60%
Gent
3 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 59%
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway Kristiansund BK over 1.5 goals 59%
Kristiansund BK
0 : 1 FT
Haugesund
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 16 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Excelsior (Ajax over 1.5 goals) at 86% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.