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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 17 September 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to FC Augsburg vs Bayern München (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 85% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 59%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 85%
FC Augsburg
1 : 0 FT
Bayern München
Win 6%
Draw 10%
Win 83%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Premier League Β· England Tottenham over 1.5 goals 76%
Tottenham
6 : 2 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Premier League Β· England Newcastle over 1.5 goals 76%
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Vitesse over 1.5 goals 76%
Vitesse
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 60%
Draw 18%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard over 1.5 goals 71%
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 19%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 78%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals 70%
İstanbulspor
2 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 14%
Draw 18%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 goals 69%
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Charleroi over 1.5 goals 68%
Charleroi
2 : 3 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#9 League One Β· England Exeter City over 1.5 goals 67%
Exeter City
0 : 2 FT
Burton Albion
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium OH Leuven over 1.5 goals 66%
KV Mechelen
0 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
Win 40%
Draw 20%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 80%
#11 League One Β· England Portsmouth over 1.5 goals 64%
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 63%
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone over 1.5 goals 61%
Frosinone
1 : 0 FT
Palermo
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Frosinone Clean Sheet 56%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken over 1.5 goals 60%
BK Hacken
1 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany Werder Bremen over 1.5 goals 60%
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp over 1.5 goals 60%
Guingamp
2 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 League One Β· England Bolton over 1.5 goals 60%
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Zbrojovka Brno over 1.5 goals 59%
Zbrojovka Brno
2 : 2 FT
Teplice
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor over 1.5 goals 59%
Antalyaspor
0 : 3 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#20 League Two Β· England Sutton Utd over 1.5 goals 59%
Sutton Utd
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 17 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Augsburg vs Bayern München (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 85% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.