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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 9 September 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Friday 9 September 2022. Lens vs Estac Troyes (Lens over 1.5 goals) sits top on 77% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens over 1.5 goals 77%
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 78%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Lommel United over 1.5 goals 64%
Beerschot VA
0 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia FC Sochi over 1.5 goals 62%
FC Sochi
2 : 1 FT
Dynamo
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile Curico Unido over 1.5 goals 61%
Curico Unido
2 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium K. Lierse S.K. over 1.5 goals 60%
Dender
2 : 3 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Alanyaspor over 1.5 goals 59%
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC OSS over 1.5 goals 57%
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals 57%
PEC Zwolle
2 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda over 1.5 goals 56%
Roda
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Augsburg over 1.5 goals 56%
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 32%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 10 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 9 September 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Lens vs Estac Troyes (Lens over 1.5 goals) at 77% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.