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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 14 May 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 14 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) at 75% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 75%
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 74%
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 65%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF over 1.5 goals 66%
Mjallby AIF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo over 1.5 goals 63%
Colo Colo
4 : 0 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon over 1.5 goals 63%
Lyon
3 : 2 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 63%
Montpellier
0 : 4 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 23%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden Utsikten over 1.5 goals 62%
Jonkopings Sodra
5 : 2 FT
Utsikten
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa over 1.5 goals 60%
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 0 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Köln over 1.5 goals 60%
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals 60%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG over 1.5 goals 57%
Atletico-MG
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55%
#12 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Forge over 1.5 goals 57%
Forge
1 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy Udinese over 1.5 goals 56%
Udinese
2 : 3 FT
Spezia
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 56%
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
#15 Superettan Β· Sweden Trelleborg over 1.5 goals 56%
Trelleborg
3 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 15 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 14 May 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) at 75% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.