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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 14 August 2021

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 14 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Burnley vs Brighton (Burnley over 1.5 goals) at 68% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Burnley over 1.5 goals 68%
Burnley
1 : 2 FT
Brighton
Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Burnley Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Premier League Β· England Chelsea over 1.5 goals 68%
Chelsea
3 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Chelsea Clean Sheet 61%
#3 Premier League Β· England Everton over 1.5 goals 68%
Everton
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Everton Clean Sheet 61%
#4 Premier League Β· England Leicester over 1.5 goals 68%
Leicester
1 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Leicester Clean Sheet 61%
#5 Premier League Β· England Watford over 1.5 goals 68%
Watford
3 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 19%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Watford Clean Sheet 61%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 66%
Bohemians 1905
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 17%
Draw 19%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 65%
Borussia Dortmund
5 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria TSV Hartberg over 1.5 goals 62%
TSV Hartberg
1 : 1 FT
Ried
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg over 1.5 goals 62%
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking over 1.5 goals 61%
Tromso
– : – CANC
Viking
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük over 1.5 goals 61%
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Altay over 1.5 goals 61%
Altay
3 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Hatayspor over 1.5 goals 61%
Hatayspor
1 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo over 1.5 goals 57%
Akhmat
2 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals 56%
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo over 1.5 goals 56%
Union Espanola
0 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 16 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 14 August 2021?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Brighton (Burnley over 1.5 goals) at 68% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.